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Showing posts with the label Senate trial

ON TO MARS

The second impeachment trial of Donald Trump started today in the Senate.   He is the first president to be impeached twice.   Richard Nixon never did get impeached.  He resigned.   Will Trump get convicted this time?  No.  There is no sign that two-thirds of the Senate would vote to do so.   But that is not why Democrats are holding this trial.  What they hope to do is weaken Republican senators when they run for re-election. As of today, betting odds show only a 4.4% chance of this occurring.  That is, the percentage betting on the Senate trial failing is 95.6% . If not convicted, the Senate won't vote on whether to bar him from running for office, which only needs a majority vote. So, then, what? Joe Biden will turn 80 later this year. Donald Trump will only be 78 in 2024. With all his other legal and financial problems, odds are that he won't run again anyway. However, he will continue to command the attention of at least half those voting in the Republican primary of most