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WHAT HAPPENED TO ALL THE PREDICTED ATLANTIC HURRICANES?

  The  National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration  (NOAA) has predicted the following hurricane activity levels across the Atlantic, Eastern Pacific, and Central Pacific basins for 2022: Atlantic: Runs from June 1 to November 30, but not necessarily. Above-Normal Season Likely:  14-21 named storms and 3-6 major (Category 3-5) hurricanes, the 7th consecutive above-average hurricane season.   Only a 10% chance of a below-normal season. Why? Warmer-than-average sea surface temperatures  La Nina ( Absence of El Nino means that the lack of wind shear force to break down hurricanes ) Weaker tropical Atlantic trade winds Enhanced West African monsoons The two prominent forecasters are NOAA and Colorado State.  Past history shows that NOAA has a 92% accuracy for predicting the number of named storms, 72% for CSU, while NOAA has an 82% accuracy of predicting the number of major hurricanes, 62% for CST. Eastern Pacific: Below-Normal Season Likely Central Pacific: Below-Normal Season Likely