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WHAT ABOUT HURRICANE IAN?

              From Worldometer (new  COVID-19 deaths yesterday):

    DAY   USA  WORLD    Brazil    India    South Africa

June     9     1093     4732         1185        246       82
July    22      1205     7128         1293      1120     572
Aug    12      1504     6556        1242        835     130
Sept     9      1208      6222       1136       1168       82
Oct     21      1225      6849         571        703       85
Nov    25       2304    12025        620        518      118
Dec    30       3880    14748       1224       299      465
Jan     14       4142      15512        1151        189      712
Feb      3       4005    14265       1209       107      398
Mar      2       1989     9490        1726       110      194
April     6        906    11787         4211       631       37
May     4        853     13667        3025      3786     59 
June    1        287    10637         2346      3205      95
 July    7         251      8440        1595        817      411
Aug     4         656    10120        1118        532      423 
Sept   22      2228      9326          839       279     124
Oct      6       2102      8255          543       315       59
Nov    3        1436      7830         186        458       23
Dec     1       1633      8475          266        477       28
Jan     7        2025      6729         148         285     140
Feb     2        2990   12012          946        991      175
Mar     2        1778     7756          335         173       28 
Apr     1         439      4056         290         52        12
May    5         225      2404        151            ?        64 
June    2        216      1413          130          10        31 
July    7         320       1958        297          38         9 
Aug   4         311        2138          258          70         ? 
         11         290       1994         173          49         ?
        18          264      1950         202           ?         ?
        25          245      1909         197          68        ?
        31          403      1989         115           37        ? 
Sep    1          272       1732          39            ?         ? 
          8          287       1676          99          13        ? 
        15          249        1418          79          23       17
        21          375        1330         87          26        ? 
        22          222        1219         69          20        ?
        28          370        1220         48          27        ?

Summary:
  • After leading the world in new deaths/day for years, then be replaced a couple of months ago by Japan, the USA was yesterday #7 with 36,714 new cases.
  • #1 was Germany with 78,863, #2 France 53,410, #3 Japan 49,979, #4 Taiwan 48,553, #5 Russia 40,017 and #6 Italy 36,795.  South Korea was #8 with 36,126.
  • If you are soon to vacation in Europe, watch out.  However, at last check, it was 0.97 Euro to the U.S. Dollar, which is good, for it was 1.23 at the end of last year and 1.59 in 2008.  Yet, it was down to 0.84 in 2000.
  • Japan announced that overseas visitors will be allowed starting October 11.  It's today 145 yen to the U.S. dollar, which is terrific for travelers.  It was 75 yen to the dollar 11 years ago.
So what about Hurricane Ian?
  • He is in the Atlantic and not a hurricane anymore.
  • However, there will be strengthening back to a hurricane tonight, and an expected landfall as a Category 1 over Charleston, South Carolina Friday afternoon, but only at half (75 MPH) the speed compared to the l50 MPH over Western Florida.  Next, north with a lot of rain and some wind through Charlotte, North Carolina.
  • It's too early to say much about deaths and damage, but President Biden this morning did say the casualties will be substantial.  
    • One disaster modeller estimated that the economic damage would be $67 billion, and that orange juice prices will surge.
    • 60% of Florida residents don't have flood insurance.
    • In 2005, Hurricane Katrina over New Orleans was responsible for 1,833 fatalities and $125 million in economic damages.
  • Predictive models when Ian was just becoming a hurricane:
So is global warming responsible for the quick strengthening of Hurricane Ian?  Of course debatable, but the New York Times this morning hinted as so, and provided this graphic.

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