Skip to main content

AN OPTIMAL PLAN FOR THE REPUBLICAN PARTY

New Hampshire primary voting will not end until 8PM ET.  

  • Donald Trump should beat Nikki Haley by double-digits.  
  • The next contest will be in Nevada, which is rather confusing, and I should stop here, but won't.  
    • Democrats and Republicans couldn't agree on primary or caucus, and this is now a mess.
    • For those citizens choosing the primary system (which means to vote by showing up at a polling place), early voting begins on January 27 and runs through February 2.  Here is the list of who is running.  20 individuals, including Biden and Haley, but no Trump.
    • This I'm not certain, but I think Democrats will only use the above system, while Republicans have the option to do one or both.
    • The matter of who is running does not matter, and candidates had the option of being in the primary or caucus, but only one.
    • And, get this, Republicans can either vote only, or also show up at a caucus, which will occur on Thursday, February 8 between 5PM and 7:30PM.
    • You with me so far?
    • It  doesn't matter.  While I don't know of a very current poll of Trump vs Haley, Trump will crush Haley.  Why?  Trump is in the caucus only and Haley is in the primary only.  However, in Nevada, only the caucus results count.  Thus, Trump will get all the votes for the national convention.  Does this make any sense to you if you are a Haley supporter?  As I say, Nevada is confusing.
  • About South Carolina on February 24, Axios indicated Trump at 64%, Haley 25% and DeSantis 8%, but most of the DeSantis support will go to Trump.  And Haley is former governor of this state.
  • Then Michigan on February 27, a poll has Trump at close to 70% and Haley not even 20%.
  • Super Tuesday comes on March 5 when 15 or so states hold their primary/caucus.
  • The most useless Republican caucus will be held in Hawaii on March 12.  Can you believe, maybe 20 years ago, I actually went to one of these.  And I'm a Democrat.
If I ran the Republican Party, this would be my optimal plan:
  • Sometime soon after Haley gets beat by Trump in New Hampshire, a deal is made between the two camps.
  • Kiss and make up, with Trump selecting Haley as his vice-presidential candidate.
  • Trump's MAGA fans might not love this, but it should be okay if done right.
  • From the party viewpoint, if Trump does get derailed by the Supreme Court or his various criminal trials, and is deemed unworthy or unable to become the Republican nominee in mid-July, then the obvious choice to replace him would be Haley.
  • Biden will beat Trump on 5November2024.  He has too much baggage.
  • Haley now usually prevails over Biden in polls.  Age becomes a huge factor.

The Republican Party is in almost total disarray today, and losing Independents.  They know that a Trump presidency could mean the end of Democracy.  Yet, they march along to their demise.  Nikki Haley could well be their savior if they work this right.

- 

Comments

Popular posts from this blog

HONOLULU TO SEATTLE

The story of the day is Hurricane Milton, now a Category 4 at 145 MPH, with a track that has moved further south and the eye projected to make landfall just south of Sarasota.  Good news for Tampa, which is 73 miles north.  Milton will crash into Florida as a Category 4, and is huge, so a lot of problems can still be expected in Tampa Bay with storm surge.  If the eye had crossed into the state just north of Tampa, the damage would have been catastrophic.  Milton is a fast-moving storm, currently at 17 MPH, so as bad as the rainfall will be over Florida, again, a blessing.  The eye will make landfall around 10PM EDT today, and will move into the Atlantic Ocean north of Palm Bay Thursday morning. My first trip to Seattle was in June of 1962 just after I graduated from Stanford University.  Caught a bus. Was called the  Century 21 Exposition .  Also the Seattle World's Fair.  10 million joined me on a six-month run.  My first. These a...

WHY YOU SHOULD CONVERT TO A JAPANESE HIGH TECH TOILET

Did you know that   Oktoberfest   in Germany is mostly in September?  The very first day of Oktoberfest 2021 was supposed to be today, September 18, extending into October 3.  Well, as in 2020, Oktoberfest was cancelled. So why is it called by that month when it is held mostly in September?  The first celebration in 1810 was in October. Did you also know that Oktoberfest is held only in Munich?  These days seven million drink more than a liter ( about three typical cans ) of beer each, costing around $11.  Except for my wife and I when we followed the crowd to board the S-Bahn to the fairgrounds near Old Town.  It was drizzling a bit.  We bought a large pretzel outside of a typical barn where beer is served.  We did not know that you needed to get this inside the hall.  So no one came to serve us beer.  After a while we decided to have lunch, and the restaurant we settled on only served wine.  Thus, we might have been the ...

THE FIRST 84 YEARS OF MY LIFE

The first half of my life was spent preparing myself for my final 42 years.  This was a mostly trying and stressful period involving a less than ideal youth, then struggles to get through school, my first few jobs and accompanying life, ending two months later on a Sunday with  Part 15E , so it was a spiritual conclusion to my final transition.  I never did count the number of actual postings, but I suspect it was around 25 parts.  The ending had to do with golf, the disappearance and re-appearance of an  8-iron cover.  That was the final clue to whether the beyond after death would be eternal gloom or Heaven. Today, I provide only one transition, but hint about a final one, for this, after all, is Sunday.  I'm 84 years old, so let me summarize what happened during the first phase, from 0-42, and follow with the years 42-84.  As this is 2024, that key transition year was 1982. I can't seem to find this photo, but as a one-year old baby, I was fat....