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IS CHINA #1 IN COVID CASES/CAPITA?

From Worldometer (new  COVID-19 deaths yesterday):

         DAY  USA  WORLD    Brazil    India    South Africa

2020
June     9     1093     4732         1185        246       82
July    22      1205     7128         1293      1120     572
Aug    12      1504     6556        1242        835     130
Sept     9      1208      6222       1136       1168       82
Oct     21      1225      6849         571        703       85
Nov    25       2304    12025        620        518      118
Dec    30       3880    14748       1224       299      465
2021
Jan     14       4142      15512       1151         189     712
Feb      3       4005    14265       1209       107      398
Mar      2       1989     9490        1726       110      194
April     6        906    11787         4211       631       37
May     4        853     13667        3025      3786     59 
June    1        287    10637         2346      3205      95
 July    7         251      8440        1595        817      411
Aug     4         656    10120        1118        532      423 
Sept   22      2228      9326          839       279     124
Oct      6       2102      8255          543       315       59
Nov    3        1436      7830         186        458       23
Dec     1       1633      8475          266        477       28
2022
Jan     7        2025      6729         148         285     140
Feb     2        2990   12012          946        991      175
Mar     2        1778     7756          335         173       28 
Apr     1          439      4056         290          52       12
May    5          225      2404         151            ?        64
June    2         216      1413         130           10        31
July    6          316      1627         335           35       12 
Aug    4          311       2138         258          70         ?
Sep    1           272       1732         174            ?         ?
Oct     6          281       1305         119            9         ?
Nov    3          167         980           16            ?         ?
        25            88         985           71             3        ?  
Dec    3          149       1029         131            3         ?
          8          194       1320         104             6       86
        15           147       1295         124             4         ?
        22          289       1637         165             9         ? 
        28          296       1768         337            2         ?
2023
Jan    4          346       1534         207             ?         ?
         5           220       1611          183             ?         ? 
       12            270       1470         128             ?         ?
       19            225       1775         480             ?         ?
        26           351       1361           92             1         7
Feb    1           221       1261         126              ?         ?
          8          329        999          50             2         ?
        15           211         999         132             1         ?
        22           177       1016         312              1         ? 
Mar   1            119         618           81              1         ? 
          8            116        605          34             0         0
         15           136        564             ?             5         ?
         23           137        386             ?             ?         ? 
         30            81         414             ?             ?          ? 
Apr     5           121         371              ?             ?         ?

Summary:
  • #1 in new deaths yesterday was the USA with 112, #2 France 58, #3 Russia 36 and #4 Japan 36.
  • #1 in new cases yesterday was South Korea with 14,465, #2 France 9,922, #3 Japan 9,922, #4 Russia 8,636 and #5 USA 8,280.
  • About the past week in cases?
    • The world had 518,663  (-29% from the previous 7-day period)
    • #1 S. Korea 73,017 (+3%)
    • #2 Russia 64,965 (-16%)
    • #3 USA 62,660 (-49%)
  • About the past week in cases/million population.
    • World  65
    • #1      Gibraltar 2611
    • #2      Marshall Islands 2598
    • #3      Barbados  1854
    • #4      New Zealand  1777
    • #6      S. Korea  1423
    • #22    Japan  398
    • #36    USA  187
    • #37    Germany  183
    • #87    Samoa  10 (our next stop is here)
    • #100  Fiji  3 (we just left there)
  • About covid cases, small entities dominate.
    • #1      Faeroe Islands  703,959
    • #3      Austria  666,335
    • #9      France  607,120
    • #11    S. Korea 601,438
    • #33    New Zealand  464,327
    • #58    USA 317,515
    • #94    Japan 266,684
    • #141  Libya  72,042
    • #142  Thailand 67,479
    • #143  South Africa  67,021
  • On the matter of covid deaths.
    • The USA leads the world with 1,156,300, compared to #2 Brazil 700,556 and #3 India 530,929.
    • However, in deaths/million population.
      • #1      Peru  6527
      • #2      Bulgaria  5592
      • #3      Hungary  5081
      • The former Soviet countries are well represented in the top ten.
      • #15    USA  3454
      • #31    Russia  2726
      • #45    French Polynesia  2284  (we get there in a few days)
      • #56    Germany  2041
      • #106  Norway  946
      • World  877
      • #111  New Zealand  820
      • #121  S. Korea  668
      • #130  Japan  589
      • #139  Thailand  484
      • #152  Singapore  290
      • #220  China  3
    • What, China at #220?  Can't be.
      • In this Worldometer table, China was #91 in total cases with 503,302 and 5,272 deaths.  This is, of course, absurd.
      • The World Bank, however, which is not beholden to China, has reported 292,127 covid deaths on 1 April 2023, which would be 207 deaths/million population, which would just about tie Zambia at #159, which is pretty good.
      • The World Health Organization, which protects China, has reported 99,238,586 Chinese covid cases. or 70,382 total cases/million population, which would just about tie Thailand for #142.  Amazing how in February of 2020 when we were in Thailand, China was #1 in new cases, with Thailand at #2.
      • Ah, but Bloomberg on 22January2023 suggested that 1.1 billion people in China got Covid.  This calculates to 780,142 cases/million population, which beats Faeroe Island, with 703,959.  It would not surprise me if Bloomberg is closer to the truth, meaning that CHINA IS #1 IN TOTAL COVID CASES/CAPITA!!!
  • The bottom line to all this is that...
    • There was less than a 1 in 1000 chance that you would have died from covid in the world.  But international reportage, especially from developing countries, is spotty.
    • A 1 in 290 chance that a person from the USA died from covid.
    • A 3% chance of someone from the USA contracting covid.  However, at-home tests now dominate, so that percentage should be higher.
    • Around 300,000 of those U.S. covid deaths were of those 85 or older.  This age group represents 13% of the population, or 6.3 million in all.
      • Thus, 1 in 21 of this age group died, or the odds of dying was just less than 5%.
      • The average age at 15 Craigside where I live is 85.
      • As far as I know, with perhaps 250 total people living here during the past 3 years, only 1 died from this disease, or a death rate of 0.4%.
      • Those 62 and older can move into this seniors' community.  If you can afford it, a lot of apartments are currently vacant.
Otherwise, the Seabourn Odyssey left Fiji and is on our way to Samoa, I think. The authorities were confused.
  • First of all, we are on the west side of the International Dateline, so I am creating this posting at 1:45PM on  Friday, April 7.
  • It is, thus, 2:45 PM on Thursday, April 6 in Honolulu, and 8:45PM in New York City.
  • Tomorrow, Saturday, April 8, we arrive in Apia, Samoa.  We depart at 6PM for Pago, Pago, American Samoa.
  • The next day remains Saturday, April 8, for we cross the International Dateline.  What time?
    • If we depart Apia at 6PM and arrive into Pago Pago at 8AM, that would be 14 hours.
    • The distance between the two sites is 137 miles.
    • At constant speed, that would be 9.79 MPH.
    • Apia is 40 miles from the International Dateline, so we will cross that line in 4 hours, or at 10PM, or so.
    • In other words, the Seabourn Odyssey would be, roughly at 10PM on Saturday, April 8, and instant later, it would be Friday, April 7 at just after 10PM.
    • At after midnight it will be April 8, because we crossed the dateline.
    • When we wake up the next morning, we will relive April 8.
    • In a way, I've done this before on my birthday.
      • I woke up in Tokyo the morning of September 6, my birth date.
      • I caught a flight from Tokyo to Honolulu at 7PM.
      • Arrived in Honolulu the next morning at 7AM, which was still September 6.
    • One confusion is that we are scheduled to dine in Thomas Keller's Grill on Saturday, April 8.  But there are two April 8s.  They call these two dates April 8 (Day 1) and April 8 (Day 2) on the ship.  Our reservation is for Day 1.  We are still debating whether we want to dine in a regular restaurant while this outbreak is at a maximum.
    • In Jules Verne's Around the World in 80 Days, Phileas Fogg thought he had screwed up by taking 81 days to do this.  He did take more than 80 days, but as he gained back an extra day by going east, he met the 80-day deadline.  Think about this.
Otherwise, this remained a minimal day, with two forays out of our room.  Savusavu from our balcony.
However, the excitement of the day.  No, not seabirds.  We could not open the door to our balcony because of mating gnats.  Sometimes three on top of each other,
 Our now regular aft lunch outside the Colonnade.  The view is mesmerizing as you eat.  Here a tender returning from the island.
Goodbye Savusavu.  At departure, we decided to take a chance to our first "in room" activity, high tea.
In room dinner which we forgot to photograph.  This is the end of the meal.  Watched Father Stu, which got 41/95 ratings from Rotten Tomatoes.  Rarely do you see this much discrepancy.  Usually I agree with the second score, that of the audience.  This time, I'm closer to the reviewers.  I did not think the story was believable.  Mark Wahlberg was fine, and Mel Gibson as his father was better.
I'm doing less and less.  Only 1784 steps.
Note the Pago Pago info page.  There is something inept about the Destination services office.  They keep making mistakes.  Our next stop is Apia.  Over the next few days it will be getting confusing as it is with the passing of the International Dateline.  They make it worse.
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