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SOME FINAL THOUGHTS ABOUT COVID-19 DEATHS


From Worldometer (new  COVID-19 deaths yesterday):

          DAY  USA  WORLD    Brazil    India    South Africa

2020
June     9     1093     4732         1185        246       82
July    22      1205     7128         1293      1120     572
Aug    12      1504     6556        1242        835     130
Sept     9      1208      6222       1136       1168       82
Oct     21      1225      6849         571        703       85
Nov    25       2304    12025        620        518      118
Dec    30       3880    14748       1224       299      465
2021
Jan     14       4142      15512       1151         189     712
Feb      3       4005    14265       1209       107      398
Mar      2       1989     9490        1726       110      194
April     6        906    11787         4211       631       37
May     4        853     13667        3025      3786     59 
June    1        287    10637         2346      3205      95
 July    7         251      8440        1595        817      411
Aug     4         656    10120        1118        532      423 
Sept   22      2228      9326          839       279     124
Oct      6       2102      8255          543       315       59
Nov    3        1436      7830         186        458       23
Dec     1       1633      8475          266        477       28
2022
Jan     7        2025      6729         148         285     140
Feb     2        2990   12012          946        991      175
Mar     2        1778     7756          335         173       28 
Apr     1          439      4056         290          52       12
May    5          225      2404         151            ?        64
June    2         216      1413         130           10        31
July    6          316      1627         335           35       12 
Aug    4          311       2138         258          70         ?
Sep    1           272       1732         174            ?         ?
Oct     6          281       1305         119            9         ?
Nov    3          167         980           16            ?         ?
        25            88         985           71             3        ?  
Dec    3          149       1029         131            3         ?
          8          194       1320         104             6       86
        15           147       1295         124             4         ?
        22          289       1637         165             9         ? 
        28          296       1768         337            2         ?
2023
Jan    4           346      1534         207             ?         ?
Feb   1            221       1261         126             ?         ?
Mar   1           119         618           81              1         ? 
Apr    5          121         371              ?             ?         ? 
May   3           37         414            48           20        ? 
         10          48         303            ?           14       ?

Unless there is a sudden jump in deaths, this will be my final listing of the above information.  I might, though, include weekly data.  For example, total cases this past week:
  • World  415,276
  • #1  South Korea  118,514
  • #2  Japan  43,514
  • #3  France  28,581
  • #4  USA  27,135
  • So did South Korea suffer from 29% of all covid cases with a population percentage of 0.6%?  Absolutely not.  Countries like S. Korea and Japan religiously report all cases.  Most don't bother.
  • About total deaths this past week per million population:
    • #1  Denmark  8 (8.4)
    • #2  Croatia  8 (8.25)
    • #3   Hong Kong  8 (7.8)
    • #4  Ireland  8 (7.8)
    • #5  New Zealand  7
    • #6  Germany  5
    • #8  France  3
    • #16  S. Korea  1
    • #26  Japan  0.8
    • #27  USA  0.8
  • Total deaths since the pandemic began/million population.
    • #1      Peru  6537
    • #2      Bulgaria  5603
    • #3      Hungary  5086
    • #15    USA  3473
      • #1  Arizona  4596
      • #2  West Virginia  4525
      • #3  Mississippi  4518
      • #49  Utah  1673
      • #50  Vermont  1489
      • #51  Hawaii  1339 (wow...we're the lowest in the nation)
    • #20    UK  3261
    • #31    Russia  2734
    • #37    France  2544
    • #43    Sweden  2366
    • #56    Germany  2070
    • #79    Denmark  1477
    • #104  Norway  986
    • #108  WORLD  882
    • #111   New Zealand  858
    • #113  Taiwan  796
    • #121  South Korea  674
    • #129  Japan  595
    • #139  Thailand  485
    • #152  Singapore  291
    • Any country below Singapore cannot be trusted for actually reporting covid deaths.
    • Note that early on, Sweden loosened restrictions compare to the other Scandinavian countries.  Not good, for their death rate was more than double the others.
    • For the past many months, Japan has been #1 or #2 in new cases/day.
      • But they report accurately.
      • So why is their death rate almost 6 times lower than the USA?
      • Mostly because those countries that somehow prevented early infections, and introduced vaccinations in time, suffered very low death rates.
    • China?
      • Secret.
      • The Economist reported that their official total death toll is 87,468, or 0.006% of their population.  They thought this was a ridiculously low percentage.
        • USA  0.35% (China's rate is 58 times lower)
        • World  0.09%
        • Peru  0.65%
        • Japan 0.06% (China's rate is 10 times lower).
        • I suspect China's death rate is close to that of Japan.  Thus, China probably suffered about a million deaths....still lower than the USA with 1.16 million deaths.  But we do have only 25% the population of China.

Of course, this is not the end of my reportage about this pandemic.  Some questions of interest.

  • What was the asymptomatic rate?  
  • An analysis of Scandinavia, where Sweden avoided restrictions for the sake of the economy.  They suffered a much higher death rate.
  • How did much of the Orient and Oceania avoid the infection until much later, thus, with vaccinations, ending up with low death rates.
  • What did Peru, Europe and the USA do wrong?
About covid deaths, this article was sent to me by a friend:
From this source:

The COVID-19 incident period will come to an end on May 11, 2023. FEMA will continue to provide funeral assistance until Sept. 30, 2025, to those who have lost loved ones due to this pandemic.

Okay, one final comment.  How did Donald Trump do in the CNN town hall last night?  Here is a quick summary from CNN.  

Could he stop lying about the 2020 election?

Did he regret his role in the US Capitol riot on January 6, 2021?

Would he attempt to walk the line in a bid to win over moderate voters?

No and no. Emphatically no.

My thoughts:

  • I agree with CNN.
  • If Donald Trump and his advisors used this opportunity to get elected on 5 November 2024 as the primary goal, they miserably failed
  • He's got his supporters in his pocket.  For reasons that continue to confound me, they actually want him to be the once and future president.  His performance was for them.  He succeeded.
  • If he wanted to sway some lingering Independents and Democrats, he lost most of them.
  • Compounding his embarrassing loss to E. Jean Carroll in court will be cases in New York, Georgia and with the Department of Justice.  
    • The only goal for Democrats is to keep him active and feisty through July of next year into the Republican Convention.
    • Both New York and Georgia will try him and probably find him guilty.  But the verdicts will be contested and every effort should be made by Democrats to keep him out jail.
    • The final wild card will be that January 6 attack on the U.S. Congress.  The Department of Justice will be smart enough to attack to maximize victory on 5 November 2024.
  • The greatest challenge is for the Republican Party to gain some unity for that date.
  • At this point, 544 days to general election day in 2024, looks like Democrats will easily win the White House and prevail in both houses of Congress, plus a few more governorships.
  • Immigration will remain a mess, but inflation will be in control by this time next year, the Ukraine War will be in better shape and abortion will haunt Republicans.
  • I'm presently leaning towards a Michelle Obama vs Chris Sununu battle on 5 November, with perhaps Liz Cheney running as an Independent.

-

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