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THE FUTURE OF SOCIAL WELFARE IN THE USA

I've long debated addressing the matter of social welfare in the United States.  Well, Senator Joe Manchin's NO to the White House about the Build Back Better Act could well be a wake up call for the nation.

First, Manchin left the  door wide open for some compromise next month.  He blamed the White House staff and not the President.  So something less than $2 trillion will get through by reconciliation.

But the larger point that I'll address today is:  can we build a society to motivate people?  We need to get to the root cause of what ails America.  Homelessness, poverty, racial strife...things seem to be getting worse rather than better.

Starting with homelessness, here are some numbers that will surprise, if not shock, you.  In terms of homeless/100,000 population:

  • Syria  3753
  • Nigeria  1658
  • Somalia  1867
  • Central African Republic  1421
  • South Sudan  1378
  • Grenada  1300
  • Yemen  1294
  • Honduras  1235
  • Egypt  1200
  • Colombia  971
  • Germany  82
  • UK  57
  • France  45
  • Sweden  36
  • South Africa  36
  • Mexico  35
  • Haiti  34
  • Israel  29
  • China  18

  • USA  17.7

  • Brazil  10
  • Canada  10
  • Turkey  8.5
  • Italy  8.4
  • Norway  7
  • Romania  7
  • Russia  4
  • Portugal  3
  • Hong Kong  2.4
  • South Korea  2
  • Iran  1.9
  • Thiland  0.4
  • Japan  0.3
  • Jordan  0
  • Liechtenstein  0
  • Bhutan  0
  • Cuba  0

I won't pick on Syria since it's been at war for a long time.  

  • However, the homeless problem of Nigeria is 100 time worse than the U.S.  
  • The UK has four times the homelessness of the USA.
  • Sweden, South Africa and Mexico have twice the homelessness of the U.S.
  • Turkey, Italy, Norway and Romani have half the problem of the U.S.
  • Russia less than a fourth.
  • Iran is one-ninth that of the U.S.
  • Japan is 1/50 that of the U.S. 
I recall two decades ago a whole lot of homelessness in Japan.  In train stations, blue tarpaulin tents all over the place, and just discomfort everywhere.  You don't see them anymore.  Some of this is still there, but the problem was alleviated by 77%.  Here is what Japan did.

Compared to the rest of the world, homelessness is a misfortunate, but not really a problem here.  Five years ago the Star-Advertiser said homelessness was Hawaii's worse problem.  Government has tried, but I don't think it's any better today.  In that posting I quoted how Honolulu can eliminate this problem, and you can read that statement here, from my SIMPLE SOLUTIONS for Humanity

All the rest of our social welfare problems are linked to poverty, policy and attitudes.  Slavery in the country ended after the Civil War.  A century and a half later not much has really changed.  Almost three-quarters of Americans are White.  Yet, 71% of children in poverty are colored.

That Build Back Better Act is loaded with "progressive" programs that perpetuate our social welfare problem.  Our tax monies go to reducing motivation to do better.  This of course is a long-term matter, but it has been 150 years since slavery theoretically was banned.  We need to do something more effective about education, and bringing back a modern version of the nuclear family.   Criminals and those on drugs rarely come from stable families

While education gets something, if not a lot, the people problem is not addressed in Build Back Better.  We mostly take money from the more affluent to only give to the less.  Attached to these funds should be some compelling motivational requirement. What and how?  I'm not an expert in this field, but we need to break out of our current sense of liberal Democratic attitudes to something more productive.

Finally, how do we rank in social welfare?  Here is the social progress index ranking for the world:

  • #1      Norway
  • #2      Denmark
  • #3      Finland
  • #4      New Zealand
  • #5      Sweden
  • #6      Switzerland
  • #7      Canada
  • #8      Australia
  • #9      Iceland
  • #10    Netherlands
  • #13    Japan
  • #17    South Korea
  • #20    UK
  • #28    U.S
  • #29    Singapore
  • #33    Israel
  • #46    Kuwait
  • #61    Brazil
  • #69    Russia
  • #79    Thailand
  • #88    Vietnam
  • #100  China
  • #101  Saudi Arabia
  • #112  Egypt
  • #117  India
  • #139  North Korea
  • #163  South Sudan

Here are some social welfare spending numbers as a percentage of GDP:

  • #1    France  31.2
  • #2    Belgium  28.9
  • #3    Finland  28.7
  • #4    Italy  28.2
  • #5    Denmark  28.0
  • #6    Austria  26.6
  • #7    Sweden  26.1
  • #8    Germany  25.1
  • #9    Norway  250
  • #10  Spain  23.7
  • #14  Japan  21.9
  • #17  UK  20.6
  • #21  USA  18.7
  • #24  Canada  17.3
  • #29  Israel  16.0
  • #30  Switzerland  16.0
  • #34  South Korea  11.1

Note that South Korea spends only at an 11.1% rate and ranks #17 in the social progress index, compared to the USA at 18.7% to rank #28.  Switzerland is at a 16% rate, but ranks #6 in in that social progress rank.   So are we doing something wrong with what we devote to social welfare?  I think that motivation factor needs to be key.  It is clear, though, that what works in those countries has a lot to do with the ethnic mix of any society and type of government.  South Korea is 95% Korean, while Switzerland is 95% White.  Note that the top ten countries on the social progress index are essentially Caucasian, and strong democracies. 

You can form your own opinion of why we have some social welfare problems.  It's pretty obvious to me.  So what can be our solution?  Donald Trump actually made an attempt.  We are the United States of America, while beginning to lose our grip on greatness, still the strongest and best country in the history of humanity, and while we are currently challenged,  we need to find a better way.  But we need to reach a collective state of mind as shown below.

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