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AN UPDATE ON THE VENUS SYNDROME

Before getting into the Pandemic and the science topic of today, here is what President Joe Biden will attempt to do tonight in a national address from the U.S. Congress:

  • Initially, the purpose was to prepare the supportive groundwork for his $2.3 trillion jobs and infrastructure spending package.  
  • More recently, this has become a $3 trillion "Build Back Better" program. 
  • A good part of the effort is to gain bi-partisan support by including two items that might draw some Republican interest:
    • Free community college and universal pre-K schooling.
    • The second is that obvious infrastructure focus, for everyone agrees that the nation's roads, bridges, airports and just about everything else, are now deficient.

From Worldometer (new  COVID-19 deaths yesterday):

        DAY  USA  WORLD   Brazil    India    South Africa

June     9    1093     4732         1185       246       82
July    22     1205     7128        1293      1120     572
Aug    12     1504     6556        1242        835     130
Sept     9     1208      6222       1136       1168       82
Oct     21     1225      6849         571        703       85
Nov    25      2304    12025        620        518      118
Dec    30      3880    14748       1224       299      465
Jan     14       4142     15512        1151        189      712              
Feb      3       4005    14265       1209       107      398
          25       2414    10578         1582        119     144
Mar     2        1989    9490         1726        110     194
          31         1115   12301          3950       458      58
April   6          906    11787         4211         631      37
          20         883   13905         3481      2020    120
          21         876   14088          3157      2102      53
          28         885  14837          3120      3285      51      

Summary:

  • This pandemic just is not going away.
  • India is now suffering the most deaths/day.
    • They had 362,902 new cases yesterday.
    • Brazil was #2 with 76,085 new cases, and the USA #3 with 52,046.
    • Turkey was up to 43,301 new cases as #4.
    • Thailand is now experiencing a new wave with 2,179 new cases and 15 new deaths yesterday.  
      • Significant because it is #104 in total cases and with only a total deaths of 163.
      • Thus, just in one day, it experienced 9.2% of all deaths.
      • The USA had 885 new deaths, so compared to our 52,046 total deaths, that calculates to 1.7%

Recently, the New York Times reported:


This sudden rise in cases is alarming, especially as India has four the times the population of the U.S.

Also, too the NYT reported:

...a major U.N. report to be released next month will declare that slashing emissions of methane, the main component of natural gas, is far more vital than previously thought to ward off the worst effects of climate change.

Natural gas is mostly methane.  In parallel, on 21April2021, Nature reported that the U.S. is particularly responsible for paying a lot more to reduce methane escape than a poor African nation:

To most, this would hardly be newsworthy.  To me, someone who is actually writing a novel on something called The Venus Syndrome, I searched with some interest.

The Pandemic has thus far changed our economy and society in ways we did not contemplate a year ago.  Global Warming will linger for many decades, and further adjust all facets of human life.  Methane, through The Venus Syndrome, could well end the existence of Humanity, and this could happen virtually instantly in a worst case scenario.  Read on.

The Environmental Defense Fund blares that methane is 84 times more potent in warming our planet over the first 20 years it reaches the atmosphere than carbon dioxide.  This is why you see numbers ranging from 125x to 15x, for the effect depends on the time frame involved.  This is why the United Nations says methane has a warming potential 28-34 times that of CO2 because that is over a 100-year warming cycle.

They go on to further say that 60% of global methane comes from human activities, with the following primary sources:


Further cited is that the 40% natural contribution could well be too low.  This the basis for what one of my books called The Venus Syndrome, described in three Huffington Post articles:

Six years ago I outlined what could be the basis of a novel I was then contemplating on this subject.

Clearly, our oceans, are slowly warming.  What if a certain tipping point is reached where the methane clathrates at the bottom of the sea, but concentrated around the ring of fire, are triggered by an eruption to suddenly release methane to the surface?


How much energy is stored in these deep-sea methane clathrates, also known as fire ice (ice that burns)?

And the deposits of these compounds are enormous. "Estimates suggest that there is about the same amount of carbon in methane hydrates as there is in every other organic carbon store on the planet," says Chris Rochelle of the British Geological Survey.


Read about how methane clathrates formed and why the warming ocean and permafrost will mean the increased emittance of methane into the atmosphere.  There is something called the clathrate gun hypothesis involving this sudden release of methane and linkage to the Permian-Triassic extinction eventnt 252 million years ago and Paleocene-Eocene Thermal Maximum 56 million years ago.


In 2008 James Hanson made a presentation showing how Planet Earth could become Planet Venus through the evolution of carbon dioxide.  He did though hint that there was some danger from methane hydrates.  Barry Brook of the University of Tasmania also said essentially the same thing.  Buzzfeed picked this up and even showed an image of a possible sci-fi movie.

As far as I know, no such film is being planned.  However, Jennifer Lawrence and Leonardo DiCaprio will play star-crossed astronomers who discover that an asteroid is heading for Earth, but no one takes their warning seriously.  Called Don't Look Up, this will be a Netflix black comedy.  Also in the cast will be Cate Blanchet, Meryl Streep as the U.S. President, Jonah Hill as the prexy's son and Chief of Staff, and Ariana Grande.

The reason why I have not moved ahead with my book, The Venus Syndrome, is that I have still not figured out how to save the world if the feared cascading methane effect of enormous quantities into the atmosphere can be reversed.  Perhaps the solution would be to prevent this from happening.  But stopping the escape of methane from the ocean and tundra is not as easy as reducing carbon dioxide emittance.  

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