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WHEN WILL TRAINS IN THE USA GET BETTER?

     From Worldometer (new  COVID-19 deaths yesterday):

          DAY  USA  WORLD    Brazil    India    South Africa

June     9     1093     4732         1185        246       82
July    22      1205     7128         1293      1120     572
Aug    12      1504     6556        1242        835     130
Sept     9      1208      6222       1136       1168       82
Oct     21      1225      6849         571        703       85
Nov    25       2304    12025        620        518      118
Dec    30       3880    14748       1224       299      465
Jan     14        4142    15512         1151        189       712
Feb      3       4005    14265       1209       107      398
Mar     2        1989     9490        1726       110      194
April   6         906     11787         4211       631       37
May    4         853    13667        3025      3786      59 
June   1         287    10637         2346      3205      95
 July   7          251      8440        1595         817     411
Aug    4          656    10120        1118         532     423 
Sept  22       2228      9326          839        279     124
Oct    6         2102      8255          543        315       59
Nov   3         1436      7830         186         458       23
Dec    1        1633      8475          266        477       28
Jan    7         2025      6729         148        285      140
       28          2732   10,516         779        862      133
Feb  2           2990   12,012         946        991      175
      24           1823     9,809        996        304       40
Mar     2        1778     7,756         335        173        28
         11        1022      6002         465           88       28
         16         982      5579         354           59       40
         18         721       5214         380           69       39
         23         771       4695         294           67         6 
         24         649      5008        300           82       33

Summary:
  • Glancing at the Worldometer table and graphs, new cases per day are slowly declining in the World, with certain regions like Oceania and Europe still faced with 3000 new case/million and higher because of the latest Omicron subvariant.   
  • You definitely should not be river cruising on the Continent at this time.
  • I've been keeping track of various Crystal river cruises, which were going for around half-price.
  • However, the company has halted sailing because of something called bankruptcy!!!  Crystal's bank account dropped from a billion dollars to zero.  Customers with deposits might have lost more than $100 million.  Whew.

  • However, worldwide deaths are definitely declining.
    • New Zealand, for example, had 18,491 new cases yesterday, but only new deaths.
    • Austria had 41,607 new cases, but "only" 49 new deaths.  
    • In comparison, the U.S. had fewer new cases with 31,709, but 649 new deaths.
  • New case/million population:
    • World  223
    • USA  95
    • Austria  4572
    • Germany  3638
    • France  2269
    • Italy  1376
    • South Korea  7757
    • Hong Kong  1720
    • Singapore 1437
    • Japan  288
    • New Zealand  3698
    • Australia  2430
    • South Africa  35

About that war in Ukraine:

  • 3.5 million have fled the country.
  • The tiny and poor country of Moldova has accepted 100,000 of them, most now living in private homes, the total that the U.S. will accept.  
    • But ah, we will also donate $1 billion to assist European countries with refugees.
  • Yet, if the U.S. takes in the same ratio, we would need to bring in more than 13 million Ukrainians, almost ten times the population of Hawaii.
  • Poland has accepted 2.2 million, thus far.
  • Want to donate?  There are scams.  The New York Times recommends Mercy Corps.
  • Another is World Central Kitchen, founded by Chef Jose Andres, who has lived an interesting life:
    • Now 52, he was born in Spain.
    • Worked three years for Ferran Adria at El Bulli, but was fired, so moved to America at the age of 21 with $50.
    • Specializes in tapas, and now owns around 20 restaurants of various cuisine categories.
    • Has taught culinary physics courses at Harvard with Adria.
    • In response to the 2010 Haiti earthquake, formed World Central Kitchen.
    • An outspoken critic of Trump.  Of course has been sued by the Donald.
    • Was called a nut by Ann Coulter for suggesting to President Biden the use of FEMA to address hunger during the pandemic.
    • Has won the James Beard chef awards a few times.
    • Was nominated for the Nobel Prize in 2018.
    • Was given $100 million by Jeff Bezos.
  • It is clear that Putin is using a strategy of attacking civilians to win total victory.

But on to my topic of the day, trains.  The U.S. Congress passed the $1 trillion infrastructure bill last year.  Will this energize rapid transit, which the American Society of Civil Engineers rates at D-minus.  Why rail?  For one, high-speed rail reduces carbon emissions up to 90% compared to driving, flying or conventional rail.  Here is a USA wish list to the right.

Condé Nast Traveler recently had an article:

Train Travel in the U.S. is Getting More Luxurious

I once railed around the U.S. on Amtrak:  Los Angeles-Seattle-Chicago-New York City-Orlando-New Orleans-San Antonio-Los Angeles.  It was slow, and I don't remember seeing anything of significance out the window, but I did bring five books and only went as far as page 5 of one by the end of this journey.  I enjoy train travel.  Reminds me of my current lifestyle.  Aside from continuing to try to save Humanity and Planet Earth, I luxuriate in doing almost nothing.  

I might now want to take another train trip, based on the below report about luxury.  There is now a company operating on Florida, Brightline, that claims to be the only high speed rail provider to America.  They hope to be able to provide service between Miami and Orlando International Airport by next year.

Condé Nast just had an article on The 15 Best Trains in the World, and they are all slow:

  • Seven Stars in Kyushu, Japan 95.77 (right).  Just watched an episode in Season Four of Smithsonian's Might Trains on this train.  Four days and three nights for $2000/person/day, or something close to $8000/person.  And there is a long waiting list.
  • Rocky Mountaineer, North America 95.14
  • The Ghan, Australia 93.9
  • Belmond British Pullman, Europe 92.07
  • Eastern & Oriental Express, A Belmond Train, Asia
     86.85
  • Palace on Wheels, India 86.075
  • The Pride of Africa - Rovos Rail, Africa 84.07
  • El Transcantabrico Gran Lujo, Spain 83.79
  • Belmond Royal Scotsman, Europe
     83.74
  • Belmond Andean Explorer, South America 81.7425
  • Inca Rail, South America 81.566
  • Belmond Hiram Bingham, South America
     80.425
  • Golden Eagle Trans-Siberian Express, Asia 80.19
  • Royal Canadian Pacific, Canada
     75.45
  • Venice Simplon-Orient-Express, Europe 75

  • The high speed rail system connecting Los Angeles and San Francisco is suffering the same fate of Hawaii's, although ours is not even fast.  About the Hawaii Rail Transit project, The preliminary projection for the 20-mile system was $4 billion in 2006.  The estimated cost for completion sometime this year is $21 billion.  This would be an astounding cost of more than $1billion/mile, and I wouldn't count on anything being operational so soon, and will be at a much higher cost if this line ever makes it to the Ala Moana Shopping Center.

    The first phase of California's High-Speed Rail will take 2 hours and 40 minutes from Union Station in Los Angeles to the Salesforce Transit Center in San Francisco, a distance of 380 miles, or average speed of 142 MPH.  Phase 1 will extend 520 miles, with Phase 2 bringing the length up to 800 miles.  A maximum speed of 220 MPH is envisioned.

    In 2008 the complex was supposed to cost $40 billion.  

    • The price is now up to $105 billion, expecting many more billions to come, with an earliest possible completion date for Phase 1 in 2033.  
    • But will it ever get completed, for a statewide vote last year showed 42% favored halting the effort and 41% to continue.
    • Not exactly sure what that amount of money will cover, but say this is for 500 miles.  That would be $210 million/mile, a heck of a lot cheaper than the Honolulu system. 
    • In comparison, the recent Houston Metro 3.2-mile long Green Line all above ground came in at $223 million/mile.  But this was light rail.
    How do we compare?  I've ridden those bullet trains of China, Japan and Europe, and they are fabulous.  Japan began their bullet train, or Shinkansen, in 1964.  Wonderful, for I've been on Japan Rail Pass at least a dozen times to view the fall colors and spring cherry blossoms.  France came second in 1981, and save for some labor problems I ran into, the whole European transit system is quite good.  I've ridden trains in Japan through a typhoon, and traveling at 200 MPH never once had my drink spilled.  There is something about train traveling that is mesmerizing.

    I can't seem to find the cost of what Japan or Europe are paying for new lines, but here is something about China, which is now #1:
    • The high-speed train program began in 2003 with a 250-mile line for a 150 MPH train.
    • It is now a network larger than 6000 miles, with another 8000 miles under construction, all capable of carrying trains traveling in excess of 200 MPH.
    • I can't believe my calculation can be that off, but my math says that 200 MPH train systems are built in China for $27 million/mile.  Click here to make your own conversion.
    • This article goes on to say that the European average is $42 million/mile.
    • While California is suffering to install a 500-mile bullet train system that will not be finished for more than a decade from now, CHINA BUILT OVER 6000 MILES WITHIN 7 YEARS!!!  And at one tenth the cost/mile of the USA.
    World bullet train comparison (that map is for high-speed rail in Europe):
    • #1  China  16,000 miles (with 6700 miles in construction)
    • #2  Spain  1,926 miles (with 1118 miles in construction)
    • #3  Japan  1,890 miles (with 250 miles in construction)
    • #4  France  2,001 miles (with 78 miles in construction)
    • #5  Germany  1,888 (with 205 miles in construction)
    • #22  USA  54 miles (this is Amtrak's Acela, which can go up to 150 miles, but only averages 66 MPH)
    But are we catching up?  According to this site, the U.S. has a bit more than 1000 miles approved, but not yet started construction, #1 in the world to Iran, China and Turkey.

    What next?  The magnetic levitation (maglev) train, already in limited operation in China, South Korea and Japan, can travel at 270 MPH.

    Of course, the USA has Elon Musk's Hyperloop, announced a decade ago to send travel pods inside metallic tubes to reach a speed of 750 MPH, taking people from Los Angeles to San Francisco in 30 minutes.  
    • It will travel alongside highways at a height of 100 feet, and be powered by solar panels and batteries.  
    • Another company is looking at keeping everything underground.  
    • Musk says that he intends to offer a one-way journey for $20.  
    • There is an additional partnership with Richard Branson to install them worldwide.
    • Supposedly, agreements have been reached with China, Indonesia, South Korea, France and the Czech Republic, and the first commercial system will link Abu Dhabi with Dubai.  
    • Alas, nothing much has happened.
    • But Branson is optimistic.
    • Read Wikipedia to better learn about this travel option.
    To close the week, here is art by Jesstoni Garcia of Manila.  He owns a salon, but spends eight months of the year at sea working on a cruise ship.  He spends his time making portraits of celebrities using only hair clippings and glue.

    -

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