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HAWAII: The Best and Most Dangerous State in the USA?

Read the local Star-Advertiser for the Maui Apocalypse details.

The Hawaii Emergency Management Agency:Donations and volunteer support information at ready.hawaii.gov or 808-733-4300.

or

Maui County: Donate or volunteer by calling 808-270-7285

or

The Maui Strong Fund at 808 566-5560.

Jeff Bezos and fiancee Lauren Sanchez donated $100 million.  Of course, he is worth $163 billion.  Thus, looking at this on a percentage of richness basis, a millionaire should give around $600, and, if you are worth $100,000, then your share should be $60.  Let's see now, Hawaii-born Steve Case said he would contribute $1 million.  That's about right, for he is worth $1.5 billion.  Jeff and Lauren own a $78 million home at La Perouse Bay on Maui.

Lahaina will return.  There will be a significant boost to the island economy over the next decade, as $10 billion will be spent to restore the place.  The draw of Whales and Rainbows will overcome Cruel and Merciless Sun, which is the Hawaiian definition for Lahaina.

From Only In Your State, the 7 most horrifying disasters that ever happened in Hawaii:

  • #1  1946 Aleutian Islands Tsunami Earthquake.
    • Occurred on April 1.
    • Five hours after the Alaskan earthquake, destructive wave hit the Big Island, mostly killing those in Hilo.
    • Waves penetrated nearly half a mile inland.
    • Property damage of $26 million.
  • #2  1941 Japanese Attack on Pearl Harbor.
    • I would have placed this at #1.
    • 2,400 Americans killed.
    • Hawaii was on the verge of invasion, but the Japanese decided to pull back.
  • #3  1983 Kilauea Eruption that overwhelmed the Puna area on the Big Island.
    • This eruption began on 3 January 1983.
      • I happened to be at the 10th hole of the Volcano Golf Course when the ground rumbled, and we almost immediately saw a fountain of lava no more than a mile or two away.  This was the beginning.
      • Over the next 3.5 years a series of 44 lava fountains appeared as the eruption moved downhill to the Royal Gardens subdivision.
      • There was a  shift, and Kalapana was buried in 1990.
      • Activity continued until June of 2007.
      • Eruption began again in 2011 to 2018 as flows entered Pahoa.  The end came 35 years after the beginning.  
      • During much of this period, as winds now and then came from the Big Island to Oahu, we experienced significant air pollution in Honolulu.
    • There was another Kilauea Volcano eruption in 1790 that exploded, killing 400, the deadliest volcanic disaster in the USA ever.
  • #4 and #5  Hurricanes Iwa in 1982 and Iniki in 1992.
    • Category 1 Iwa was the first hurricane to hit Hawaii since statehood in 1959.
    • Ten years later came Category 4 Iniki, killing 6 and causing $3 billion in damages.
  • #6  Kept top secret until 1960, the Pearl Harbor West Loch disaster was an explosion which occurred on 21 May 1944, killing 163 Naval personnel.  An exact cause was never determined.
  • #7 1960 Great Chilean Earthquake Tsunami killed 61 in Hilo and caused $500,000 in damages.  Worldwide fatalities hit 2,200.
Tossing the Maui Apocalypse into the mix, and noting the 80+ deaths and damages in excess of $5.5 billion, I would rank the attack on Oahu Pearl Harbor attack at #1, Maui Lahaina Fire at #2, Kauai Hurricane Iniki at #3 and Big Island 1946 tsunami at #4.

In short, I keep saying that Hawaii is paradise and the best place to live, and will continue to do so.  However, we are also dangerous:
  • There will be future tsunamis.
  • Except for Kauai, the other major islands seem to be protected from hurricanes, but a severe one could still roll over Hawaii, Maui and Oahu.
  • Earthquakes can come anytime. 
    • There are thousands of them every year in Hawaii.
    • The Big Island is especially vulnerable, for the most dangerous ones are related to tectonic faults and earthquakes.
    • We get a magnitude 6 or greater every ten years and M7 or greater every 100 years.
    • Big ones only on the Big island.
      • Captain Cook experienced a 6.9 earthquake in 1951.
      • Kalapana had a 7.7 magnitude quake in 1975.
      • There was a 7.9 earthquake in 1868 that killed 77 in Kau, causing a 20 foot tsunami.
  • Wildfires.
    • All our islands are vulnerable, even Kauai.
    • From 1904 to 1980 the estimate was 5000 acres burned each year.
    • Since then, perhaps 20,000 annually.
    • Of the nearly 2 million acres designated for agriculture, 6.2% were for crops, with 40% pastureland.
    • Global warming?  Certainly droughts are a problem.  Plus, when the sugar industry closed down, management of grasses, Guinea especially, has become a problem.
    • Maui is particularly vulnerable because of higher wind speeds.
  • Floods seem to be increasing.
    • Hawaii gets about 7 feet of rain annually.
    • Up to 30 inches of rain in 2 days.  I remember living on Kauai when it one day rained 19 inches.  The river next to where we lived rose at least 10 feet.  A major waterfall just disappeared.
  • What about nuclear weapons stored on Oahu?  According to Hans Kristensen, director of the Nuclear Information Project, all nuclear weapons were withdrawn from Hawaii to the continental U.S. in the early 1990s.  The Department of Defense, however, has not confirmed this, and the Navy more recently has been lying about their Red Hill fuel storage system.
So is Hawaii the most dangerous state in the Union?  Probably not. About earthquakes.
  • The Aleutians, Alaska had 9.2 M earthquakes in 1585, and 1964, plus many at 8 M or above.
  • The 1906 San Francisco earthquake was at 7.9 M and killed more than 3000.
  • Cascadia (Washington, Oregon, California) in 1700 had an earthquake of possibly 8.7 to 9.2 M.
  • Missouri (New Madrid) in 1811-12 had one of from 7.2-8.2 M, killing at least 100, and maybe 500.
  • The 8.6 M Aleutian Islands earthquake on 1946 killed 165.
  • The 10 M earthquake predicted for Yellowstone is mostly man-made.
  • The Mount St. Helens earthquake was only 5.1.
  • California is not going to fall into the Pacific Ocean, however, over geologic time, Los Angeles and San Francis will one day be adjacent to one another.
Wallet Hub ranked the states that could be impacted by natural disasters, and you wouldn't believe which ones are at the top:
  • #1    Mississippi
  • #2    Louisiana
  • #3    Texas
  • #4    Iowa
  • #5    Alabama
  • #9    Florida
  • #25 New York
  • #32  California
  • #47  Hawaii
  • #49  Alaska
  • #50  Maine
But, NOAA and FEMA data were used by Primal Survivor to rank the most and least natural disaster states, and the results are very different:
  • Highest risk:  California, Texas, Oklahoma, Washington and Mississippi.
  • Least risk:  Rhode Island, Delaware, Hawaii, Vermont and Maine.
Finally from Moneywise, the 25 most disaster prone states:
  • #1    Texas (fires, floods, tornadoes, hail, winter storms, hurricanes)
  • #2    California (earthquakes, wildfires)
  • #3    Oklahoma
  • #4    Washington has had 190 major disasters since 1953.
  • #5    Florida, mostly hurricanes.
  • #6    Oregon has had 139 major disasters during the past 70 years.
  • #10  Louisiana and Colorado.
  • #15  Mississippi
  • #23  Alaska
  • NO MENTION OF HAWAII.
What a relief.  We are the best state, and are not the most dangerous.  In fact, we are a relatively safe state.  We are #47 in terms of danger by natural disaster.  I should beg to disagree, but will instead take experts at their word and feel a lot more secure.

I end with Day 8 of my African Blood Lily.
Typhoon Lan has weakened down to 75 MPH, will make landfall over Japan on Monday, August 14, track upwards into the Japan Sea, then turn north towards Hokkaido.  Note below that ocean storm to the right of Lan.  Hurricane Dora finally decided to turn north.

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