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DO YOU BELIEVE IN FLYING SAUCERS? WHAT ABOUT UAPs?


Today, I'll re-look at a subject largely discredited in higher academic circles:  flying saucers.  The more common term is UFO, or unidentified flying object, coined by the Air Force in 1952.  However, a new one has just surfaced, unidentified anomalous phenomena, or UAP, generally linked to the Navy-led UAP Task Force established by the Pentagon in 2020.  Adam Goldsack already in 2021 wrote a book with this term.  Read this article to catch up on all the recent hoo ha delving into early sightings and what Congress is doing today.

Although I don't believe in the type of flying saucers the media now and then tosses out at you, I've nevertheless looked into this subject, and here are some of my past postings:
But first, gaze up into the sky, for you will see a blue supermoon this month.

The first supermoon will be seen Tuesday evening as it rises from the southeast, appearing slightly bigger and brighter than normal. At the end of the month, the second supermoon will be even closer.  We won't see two supermoons in one month again until 2037, according to Italian astronomer Gianluca Masi. 

A supermoon happens three or four times/year when the moon is closer to being 226,000 miles away, than the other extreme of 251,000 miles, the apogee.  So you actually do see the moon when closer that looks 14% larger and 30% brighter.  But you won't see a bluer color.  The "blue moon" term has to do with this only happening every so ofter, or not regularly.  So, therefore, the only blue supermoon will be the second one on August 30.

People in the USA are rather religious and tend to believe more about other supernatural phenomena than most advanced countries. 
  •  Americans pray more often, are more likely to attend weekly religious services and ascribe higher importance to faith in their lives than adults in other wealthy, Western democracies, such as Canada, Australia and most European states, according to a recent Pew Research Center study.

    For instance, more than half of American adults (55%) say they pray daily, compared with 25% in Canada, 18% in Australia and 6% in Great Britain. (The average European country stands at 22%.) Actually, when it comes to their prayer habits, Americans are more like people in many poorer, developing nations – including South Africa (52%), Bangladesh (57%) and Bolivia (56%) – than people in richer countries.

  • Considering our advanced educational requirements, the following graphic is almost freakish. We are an outlier anomaly.
Conversely, in there seems to be a general belief that flying saucers from some remote civilization will not be possible because of it would take too much energy to travel such long distances.  Furthermore, should there be such an encounter with Planet Earth, almost surely the intelligent life would be some form of artificial intelligence.

Yet, James Deardoff had a thought in 1985.  Click on that link to read his summary.  Essentially, he argues that if a civilization somewhere in our Milky Way Galaxy could find a way to travel at only 1% the speed of light, the odds are high that we would have been reached by now.

I long ago worked for NASA's Ames Research Center, and all those astrophysicists involved with the Search for Extraterrestrial Intelligence program I was in almost totally divorced themselves from flying saucers and those myths.  I suspect this remains true today.  However, I interacted with someone  from Stanford, Ron Bracewell, who believed that humanity came to be through contact with extraterrestrials, and the Ames people nodded in general approval.  The proximity of his office and scholarly eminence made the difference.  When I worked at Ames that summer, I lived on the Stanford campus.

The July 2023 issue of Stanford Magazine has an article, First Contact, featuring one of their faculty, Garry Nolan, who is the man you call when there is no Earthly explanation.

  • He has published 300 papers over a 30-year career as an immunologist in the Sanford School of Medicine, who spent his post-doc under Nobel laureate David Baltimore of MIT.
  • What drove him into extraterrestrials is that in his youth he said he had two alien encounters.
  • One might surmise that a scientist would pay a reputational cost for embracing what was once largely seen as tabloid fodder. Nolan recalls a senior figure from the National Cancer Institute taking him aside in a bar around 2014 to warn him he was ruining his career.
  • However, he was brave enough to publish last year in Progress in Aerospace Sciences, for few academics of any stripe would actually do so, the possibility of UFOs (Unidentified Flying Objects).
    • This paper revisited that luminous red mass--around 50 pounds of molten iron--reported to have fallen on Council Bluffs, Iowa in 1977.
    • His team concluded that this blob came from an advanced aerial vehicle, the first time any peer reviewed article in the mainstream dared to so exclaim.
    • 1977 was a particularly fertile year for UFO sightings, for several officials in Mississippi encountered a metallic blue object that looked life a spinning top, 15-18 feet off the ground, and were told to keep quiet about it.
    • Recently, Nolan has said that aliens are "100%" living among us.
  • Back to that article, earlier, in the 1970's, Peter Sturrock, another Stanford faculty member, now a professor emeritus of applied physics, hired a French scientist, Jacques Vallée, who in 1969 had helped the U.S. Air Force declare that flying saucers were bunk, to interact.  Vallée subsequently inspired Steven Spielbergs 1977 movie, Close Encounter of the Third Kind.  Nothing came of this alliance.
  • Since 2007 the Pentagon has apparently been running a cover UFO program, and annually reports to Congress.
Thus far, though, anyone waiting for confirmation of UFOs from the government is still waiting. The Department of Defense’s All-Domain Anomaly Resolution Office “has found no credible evidence thus far of extraterrestrial activity, off-world technology, or objects that defy the known laws of physics,” the head of the office recently told the Senate Armed Services Subcommittee on Emerging Threats and Capabilities
.

  • In conclusion, Nolan said:
“I don’t have something that I could put on the kitchen table that will float with anti-gravity that I can point my friends to,” he says. “I agree with you that the hard data is not in your hands yet, but don’t stop me from getting it.”

I spent so much time above to get to what happened last week in Congress, from Time.

  • Jimmy Carter, in 1969 when he was a private citizen, said he saw a flying saucer.  It was probably the planet Venus.  But maybe not.
  • The House Oversight Subcommittee on National Security held a day-long meeting with multiple witnesses.
  • Most conspicuous was Air Force Major David Grusch, who led a government task force on UAP, Unidentified Aerial Phenomena, the new term replacing UFO.
    • U.S. military forces  have reported 650 instances of flying objects no existing technology can manage.
    • In 2020, the Pentagon released videos of three Navy UAP sightings.
  • But:
Pentagon spokeswoman Sue Gough in a 
statement
 to TIME, the Department of Defense (DoD) “has not discovered any verifiable information to substantiate claims that any programs regarding the possession or reverse-engineering of extraterrestrial materials have existed in the past or exist currently. The Department is fully committed to openness and accountability to the American people…DoD is also committed to timely and thorough reporting to Congress." 

What about the reality of what is happening?

...science is where things get awfully tricky—especially when it comes to how and why E.T. would be coming to our particular spot in the universe. There are up to 400 billion stars in the Milky Way—virtually every one of which is circled by at least one planet, and many by multiple planets like our own solar system. Our galaxy is about 100,000 light years across; a single light year is just shy of 9 trillion km (6 trillion mi.). Unless Einstein is wrong—and he hasn’t been yet—nothing can exceed light speed, and merely approaching it would take an astonishing degree of technological achievement. 

Now take all of those figures and multiply them by two trillion—or the number of galaxies that observations by NASA’s Hubble Space Telescope have estimated are in the universe. That makes for an awful lot of planets and an awful lot of cosmic real estate for a visiting spacecraft to cover just to come to our little world.

Time magazine showed ten historic photos of unidentified aircraft going back to 1950.  Here is the 1990 Calvine photo taken in 1990.

Here is another by Sergio Loaiza in 1971 over Costa Rica.

That photo is discredited in a TV program that ran for three seasons, one show and another.  Want more?  Here is a two-hour video of UFOs.

So we have 8,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000 stars out there, or 8 times 10 to the 24th power, or at least ten septillion planets, and probably a lot more.

In other words, beginning with Gugliemo Marconi, we have been beaming radio signals out into space since 1895 (or maybe 1894 or 1897), and they travel at the speed of light, meaning that in 2023, our presence has been announced to extraterrestrial intelligence up to 128 light years away.  That is only about one-tenth of one percent the two-dimensional size of our Milky Way Galaxy.  Actually half of that, for the latest data shows that our galaxy is 200,000 light years across.

As billionaires spend their bucks in the romance of outer space, the general public equally gabbles about mysterious space mysteries and love conspiracy tales.  Although I have a sense that there is other intelligent life somewhere else in the Universe, it is also possible that we are it.  No matter, an advanced version of us from out there in space, if they suddenly appeared, most probably would be in some form of artificial intelligence, non-human-like and certainly not organic.  If not them, I think it is possible that humanity will evolve into an ultimate form of AI and expand our presence throughout our galaxy, and in time all of space.  After all, we are young, less than 14 billion years old, with around 100 trillion years left to accomplish all that.

 

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