From Worldometer (new COVID-19 deaths yesterday):
DAY USA WORLD Brazil India South Africa
- I should soon disband this phase of this blog because the numbers are screwy.
- Certainly, India had more than one death.
- The USA led the world with 326 new deaths yesterday. #2 was Japan with 296 and #3 Brazil with 197. I don't see China any more in this table.
- Japan was #1 in new cases with 206,943, with South Korea #2 88,172, France #3 54,613, and USA #4 51,121. Note, however, that Japan was at 1648 new cases/million population, but the U.S. was only at 153/million, less than one-tenth that of Japan.
- You would think that those above countries should dominate in deaths/million population, since the beginning of the pandemic. However:
- #1 Peru 6470
- #2 Bulgaria 5563
- #3 Hungary 5042
- #4 Bosnia/Herzegovina 4992
- #5 North Macedonia 4616
- #6 Montenegro 4443
- #7 Croatia 4307
- #8 Georgia 4257
- #9 Czechia 3916
- #10 Slovakia 3808
- #11 Lithuania 3554
- #12 Romania 3538
- Diamond Princess (that ship that started this all) 3503
- #16 USA 3330
- #20 Brazil 3215
- #23 Italy 3039
- #31 Russia 2697
- #39 France 2453
- #50 Sweden 2113
- #59 Germany 1912
- #66 South Africa 1688
- #84 Denmark 1316
- #87 Canada 1267
- WORLD 857
- #109 Norway 829
- #118 New Zealand 701
- #123 Australia 642
- #125 Taiwan 626
- #126 S. Korea 615
- #137 Thailand 478
- #142 Japan 430
- #142 Singapore 288
Note that Japan has dominated the new cases/day statistics for the past few months. However, their new cases came after all those vaccinations, so few actually died. Same for S. Korea, Taiwan, Singapore, Australia and New Zealand. Former Soviet countries and adjacent nations were among the very worst in covid deaths. The worst is Peru. You can read this article to find out why. These same conditions reign in Africa. Why the numbers are so low for Africa and so high in Peru is that this country accurately reports their deaths. There is reason to believe that reportage in Africa is flawed.
It has been reported that Japan has dominated the new cases/day statistics for months because they are scrupulous in keeping track of medical records. You cannot say the same for other countries, even the USA, where most testing occurs at home, and many times not reported.
In short, the world has been stuck with unchanged daily numbers for eight months. The total number of new cases/day will unfortunately rise over the next few months because of China. There is something cruelly ironic going on, for Wuhan started this all, the government locked down the country for almost three years, and finally eased up. It would not surprise me if China by early next year has as many new cases/day as the rest of the world combined. But not that many will die because better vaccines will be introduced over the next few months. We might never know the truth because China doesn't count asymptomatic cases as real covid, and the chances are that asymptomaticity is at around 90%.
Well, let me compare the seasonal flu with covid.
- According to the Johns Hopkins University:
- Comparing COVID-19 to the flu is difficult.
- There is no question that covid causes more serious ailments, and long-term complications are prevalent.
- In both covid and the flu, most (75%?) of deaths are those 65 and older.
- We really don't have a good handle of actual flu deaths/year because many are just not reported.
- Every covid death is recorded in the U.S.
- A quick look at past deaths:
- 2018-2019 flu: 34,000
- 2019-2020 flu: 22,000
- 2020-2022 flu: historical low
- 2020 covid: 385,666
- 2021 covid: 463,206
- To quote
- Thus, the conclusion you come to from the above data is that COVID-19 is a lot worse than the seasonal flu, even today.
- The average seasonal flu deaths over the past decade was 31,000, with 283.3 million cases, or a mortality rate exactly 0.01%.
- But another CDC report indicates that the mortality rate is 0.02 for the flu, but 0.3% when pneunomia is contracted.
- Thus, you will see varying mortality rates for the seasonal flu from as low as 0.01% to as high as 0.3%.
- Reportedly, around 250,000 Americans have died of covid this year so far.
- Worldometer shows that:
- The mortality rate from the beginning of the pandemic to today is at exactly 1%, or 100 times greater than the seasonal flu.
- However, today, the mortality rate has dropped to 0.27%, or 27 times the flu rate.
- Weekly trends today for covid mortality rate:
- World 0.3%
- Japan 0.16%
- S. Korea 0.08%, or 8 times that of the flu.
- Chances are that when all the data are in over time in the future, the mortality rate of COVID-19 will be close to ten times that of the seasonal flu.
- This flu season, covering October 1 to December 10, the CDC reports there have been around 24 million flu cases with 18,650 deaths, a mortality rate of 0.07%. All this is preliminary, but interesting that this mortality rate for the flu is almost the same as the mortality rate of covid in South Korea.
According to Forbes, there were 9000 or so covid deaths in November of this year. My data show around that many covid deaths in October, so if you add ten days in December, the total is only slightly higher than the flu deaths this season.- The number of covid deaths in November is similar to the number dying from causes linked to excessive alcohol use.
- Covid hospitalizations in April of this year were as low as 1400/day, but rose to 3000-4000/day in November. Quite a bit lower than the peak of 21,500 in January.
- There was a precipitous drop to 200,000 cases/week in April, rising to 900,000 cases/week in late July, and has been in the 250,000 to 300,000 cases/week range in October and November.
- The vaunted jump expected during this Fall/Winter season has not really occurred. This rise showed in 2020 into 2021 and really got out of control in the 2021-2022 fall/winter season.
- Interesting that the seasonal flu was a total flop last year, with only 9 million cases and 5,000 deaths.
- But, mask wearing is down this fall, so the seasonal flu has returned, already with five times more cases and four times more deaths than last year.
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