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SHOULD YOU NOW BE SERIOUSLY WORRIED ABOUT DONALD TRUMP?

Let me start by answering the posed question.  YES.  Should I be worried?  Not really.  For one, I'm old, and Hawaii is far away from him.  Also, while all recent polls see him ahead of Joe Biden for our next president, there are 244 days left, and Donald Trump shows all the signs of self-destruction, combined with a plethora of court appearances to come.  In short, the margin of difference--the Never-Trumpers--titillated by Nikki Haley, could well still grow and become the crucial factor on November 5.

You know by now that Nikki Haley dropped out of the Republican primary and it will now be Donald Trump vs Joe Biden, again, on November 5.  Time magazine today reported:

Trump’s triumph gets him another step closer to reclaiming the presidency and pursuing a draconian policy agenda unlike any the nation has ever seen. He has vowed to round up and deport millions of undocumented immigrants; reimpose his travel ban on Muslim-majority countries; purge the federal bureaucracy of civil servants and replace them with MAGA loyalists; force homeless Americans off the streets and into tent cities; and commandeer the Justice Department to exact revenge on his political enemies. 

So yes, you, and the rest of the Free World, should definitely be seriously concerned.  After his victory last night:

In a social media post, Trump continued to mock his former rival, while at the same time extending an invitation to “all of the Haley supporters to join the greatest movement in the history of our Nation. BIDEN IS THE ENEMY, HE IS DESTROYING OUR COUNTRY,” he wrote. “MAKE AMERICA GREAT AGAIN!!!”

We will see more and more of this vitriol in the days to come.  But to return to Nikki Haley, what will she now do?  

  • She did not endorse Donald Trump in her concession speech.
  • She did indicate that she was not interested in being named as his Veep running mate, and has no interest in the No Labels third party effort.
  • She can wait four years and hope that her character and past performance can again be attractive enough to run for president in 2028.  She is only 52.
  • If she ends up endorsing Trump, I would be disappointed, but not surprised.  After all, even Senator Mitch McConnell did so today.
  • As I said on Monday, she remains the key as to who will become our next president.
She is the one most important individual in the world who can affect what happens on November 5, even is she is not on the ballot!  She controls the never-Trump votes, and this margin of difference will determine who wins the battleground states.

Ah, the Never-Trumpers.  

  • There are three kinds of Republicans:  traditional, MAGA and Never-Trumpers.
  • I think they each are today about a third of the party.
  • In other words, 33% of 50% (if the U.S. is either one or the other....realizing that the so-called Independents have more than either party), 22% of national voters captured the Republican Party, and have scared Republican politicians to carefully bow to them, all because of Trump and his MAGA supporters.
  • Not Haley, but Never-Trumpers will determine who wins on November 5.  Read what Time says.  
  • The danger for Trump about the Never-Trumpers is that they will largely not vote for him.  Democrats hope that this situation prevails, for while these voters will probably also not vote much for Biden, they might choose to not show up to vote at all.  If this happens, then close Senate and House seats will be significantly impacted, and so too some important local elections.  Signals are there, now blaring of a landslide.
Further, I'm not all that worried about Donald Trump because he is a bad dude and America can't possibly be that dumb for a second time.  Last month historians ranked him as #45 and Worst U.S. president.  Note that Joe Biden held the #14 spot.   No doubt Trump is a lout, liar, coup-failing despot and soon, convict.  
Timing, though, is everything.  A lot of ifs.
  • Most important, the Supreme Court.  I truly don't think they have a shred of loyalty to Donald Trump when it comes to his personal affairs.  They will hear his claim of presidential immunity on April 25.  I expect them to rule by the start of summer at the latest, and will determine that he is not immune.
  • Then those criminal trials to come.  Four?  
    • Florida documents (not that important), and will only happen if Trump determines this is the best way to avoid the other trials.
    • New York hush money (going to trial on March 25), facing a state that just does not like him.  Again, not exactly back-breaking for him, but add to everything else, and this could be that straw.
  • Georgia elections facing Fani Willis, with a tentative date of August 5, if she survives the latest scrutiny, to be decided, probably, later next week.  Four defendants have already plead guilty and will serve as witnesses.  This one will be nationally televised.
  • The big one, the coup attempt, in DC, facing Jack Smith.  The Special House Committee about 6January2021 already has Trump on the ropes.

However, you never know, and you should definitely still be seriously worried about Donald Trump.  If he becomes your next president.

  • 5November2024 might be the last fair election in the USA.  Of course, he will do the rigging this time.

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