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HOW TO INCAPACITATE DONALD TRUMP

Personal news flash!  I indicated that I gained 7 pounds on our 5-week trip to Japan.  Made sense because we ate and drank way too much, but did so, for we deserved this extravagance.  I'm getting old, and would like to maximize my enjoyment of life.

Well, I weighed yesterday, five days after returning, and was stunned to read 153 pounds.  I left Honolulu at 153 and weighed in at 160 when I returned from that trip.  How do I explain this?  I can't.  The best I can do is to suggest that my body is like a camel.  It stores water when on long trips.  But I checked, and, apparently many do gain weight when on trips, and it is mostly water.

Before I provide my thoughts on what will happen to Donald Trump, here is a more credible viewpoint of Trumping History by Michael Kazin in Foreign Policy Magazine:

  • Some see the orange-maned billionaire as a fascist akin to Hitler or Mussolini or compare him with such bygone American demagogues as Father Charles Coughlin, Wisconsin Senator Joseph McCarthy, or Alabama Governor George Wallace. Others maintain that he is a homegrown version of Russian President Vladimir Putin or French National Front leader Marine Le Pen.
  • ...to compare Trump with the shrewd Russian autocrat or the seasoned French hypernationalist is like comparing a carnival barker with a brilliant, if malevolent, magician.
  • Clearly, Kazin is a not a Trumper.
  • What he says may be wrong, malevolent and worse, but these nevertheless build his image and keeps him in the news.
  • Trump is compared to Henry Ford, who had a penchant for controversial political statements.
    • Like Ford, Trump evaded being in the military.
    • They both moved back and forth between major parties.
    • Republicans wanted to draft Ford for the presidency in 1924, for polls showed him as the leading candidate, even though only a businessman.
    • Ford was arrogant, but lacked any political ambition.
  • Both the allure of Trump’s candidacy and the dread it provokes at home and abroad stem from the same impulses, which run deep in U.S. political culture. A rich man whose name is familiar to everyone bashes people whom many citizens either fear or mistrust and makes vague promises to fix whatever ails the nation. And he does all this with a smirk, a threat, and yet also with a yearning for respect, even from those he routinely assaults in speeches.

Ends with:

Trump probably will not be elected president, and it would be a disaster if he was.

Same as yesterday, I start with something from the past.  Kazin wrote that article in 2015.

So back to today and what is happening to Donald Trump and the 5 November 2024 presidential election.  I'm going to explain myself through a hypothetical movie script.

  • On the premise that Donald Trump is too dangerous to again become president of the USA, a writing group brainstormed a story board for a film to prevent him from succeeding.
  • Forget who organized this, but in total secret, one afternoon in 2022, perhaps a dozen prominent individuals meet to discuss how to do that.
  • Actors would be found (although it would be interesting, indeed, if these people actually could have been filmed going through this process) to play:
  • No notes are taken, but the whole thing is filmed.
  • The organizers create a straw-man proposal for enhancement by the above dignitaries.
  • First order of business:  Joe Biden is getting awfully old.  Shouldn't there be some mechanism to insure that the Democratic Party has a viable candidate if something happens to him.
    • Kamala Harris would be the obvious replacement, but could there be a mechanism to optimize the situation?
    • While the Republican primary debates are occurring, in parallel host a series of Democratic primary debates for the vice presidency.  
      • How to get Harris to agree might need her pre-agreement.  Something like she being offered the Secretary of State position to step aside, perhaps.  But she remains in the debate.
      • Others might include Gavin Newsom, Gerard Polis, Gretchen Whitmer, Josh Shapiro, Amy Klobuchar Phil Murphy and JB Pritzker.  Convince Michelle Obama to help out by participating.
      • This did not occur, so the aftermath changed this possibility.

    • The one Achilles Heel of the Republicans is Donald Trump.  If we can weaken him with a series of legal dealings, beginning with January 6, stretching out the trials through much of 2024, but lay off in a manner such that he can gain the Republican nomination.
      • From all signs, half of Republicans will vote for him.  But 25% are uneasy.
      • Half of Independents are similarly uncomfortable.
      • If Trump can be hung up in criminal trials, surely 10% of Republicans and 20% of Independents can be influenced to either not vote for him, or not at all.  The latter the better, for these non-votes will help Democrats in all the states.  Republicans on the panel might not like this.  But totally discrediting Trump is one of the necessary goals.
    • The House Select Committee on January 6 has submitted a convincing package of threats to Trump.
    • The state of Georgia will likely indict him for trying to illegally influence the vote count.
    • He also has all those other nuisance suits that cannot help him.
    • But is it safe to protect him so can he get the Republican nomination?  
      • In 2016 he actually won the election.  
      • In these subsequent eight years he has been proven to be dangerous to our country.
      • The key is to get only a very few percentage of Republicans and  at least 5% of Independents to turn on him.  Any political sense screams that all that should be possible, if not more.
      • About the Supreme Court, they are a conservative group, and even though Trump nominated three of the nine, they have tended to do the right thing when Trump is personally involved.  They should be okay.
      • One more ploy is to create a third party, best if Romney can agree to run again, with Liz Cheney as his vice-president candidate.  At worst, they will get 5%.
      • Equally important is to keep any serious third-party candidate from running, like Joe Manchin.
      • Finally, in setting priorities for the criminalization of Donald Trump, have one give-away trial, like the one in Florida, for at worst, he will get his hands slapped.  Focus on either the Georgia trial, for it will be televised, or the DC trial about January 6, because attempting an obvious coup to destroy democracy will have influence on voters.  Perhaps both can proceed in parallel.
  • Say the group comes to consensus that all the above can work.  So they created a situation perfectly suited for the upcoming trials of Donald Trump, and set in motion those other activities to insure for follow-up.

My posting yesterday reported the following.

So how is Donald Trump doing today?

  • The latest poll from likely Iowa caucusgoers in the first Republican presidential nomination contest.  
    • Donald Trump 51% (was 43% in October of 2023).
    • Ron DeSantis 19%.
    • Nikki Haley 16%.
    • This is the largest Republican lead ever, fueled by evangelicals and first-timers.  
    • Three quarters of Republicans believe Trump can defeat President Joe Biden next year.
  • A recent Wall Street Journal poll about the 5 November 2024 presidential election.
    • Donald Trump 47%.
    • Joe Biden 43%.

So if that high-level brainstorming session occurred, is that group now alarmed?  Of course not.  All is going according to plan.  

  • Trump remains viable, which is good, and is expected to gain the Republican nomination in July.  
    • The plan was to allow him as much rope as possible so he can better fashion that noose.  
    • So far, going according to script, for he has said he wants to be a dictator, still likes Putin and will take revenge on anyone who has irked him.
    • He has his hard core supporters, which is half the Republican Party.  However, that represents only around 12.5% of all voters, plus whatever else he can squeeze out of independents.  From Axios.
      • Independents  49%
      • Republicans  25%
      • Democrats  25%
    • Plus, keep in mind that most in the country are good Americans and patriotic. Trump is only for himself and not for you.  And he lies.
  • Both the Georgia and DC trials are on track.  In fact, there have already been four convictions in Georgia, and the attack on the Capitol on January 6 has already sentenced 586 defendants.
  • But isn't it scary that Trump seems today positioned to win re-election?  Sure, and here are four reasons why you should worry.  
  • But there are 329 days until 5 November 2024, and a lot has been orchestrated to occur between now and then.

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